Link. Most interesting description of elliptic curves I have read.
% CPU in Activity Monitor: “what’s shown as 100% could be anything between 27-100%”
Link. Similar to free storage which now is only a probabilistic approximation.
What the GOP can do given the dependence of red states on federal money and the dependence of American food on immigrant labor.
Link. They can do what Musk wants.
Why we torture LLMs with arithmetic.
Link. AGI. Because logic/reasoning.
I’m following this blog now. Nice summary of the state of play.
Chinese students do a polite and patriotic version of a “Critical Mass” bike lark and the party ends the ride
Link. Uncontrolled student group activities are very worrisome in China.
“Cuneiform evolved from proto-cuneiform, a precursor script composed of simple symbolic pictographs that gradually incorporated syllabic elements.”
Link. New research shows precursors to proton-cuneiform. Reading seems to require an angular gurus, but the AG could not possible have developed in 8000. Reading leveraged things that evolved for another purpose.
“I wonder how much it stings to be reminded that all the money in the world cannot buy dignity.”
Link. Oligarchs bend the knee.
“There may not be enough years available to me to ever get over watching huge numbers of my fellow citizens voting so enthusiastically for a vengeful, ignorant, authoritarian asshole”
Link. After the popularity of the Bush/Chemey torture program in 2001-2003 I had no illusions about our collective nature.
Chaos times: American oligarchy
Link. 5 grim consolations.
Russia is at war with NATO: “plot had been part of a test run with the ultimate goal of putting explosive devices on planes bound for the United States and Canada”
Link. Canada too!
“plot had been part of a test run with the ultimate goal of putting explosive devices on planes bound for the United States and Canada”
“GRU, increasingly reliant on criminal proxies, often hired over the internet, to carry out acts of sabotage … “think the Russian intelligence services have gone a bit feral”
“Music is no longer in Apple’s DNA. They just don’t care.”
Link. First Apple came for the photo geek. But hardly anyone looks at pictures, so fine.
Then Apple came for the music listener. But hardly anyone listens to music, so fine.
I’m surprised Final Cut Pro is still a thing.
Alexa failed too: “… we’ve hired 10,000 people and we’ve built a smart timer …”
Link. For me Siri is more useful.
“Reuters report from last week that discovered various researchers connected to the Chinese military had availed themselves of Meta’s Llama 2 AI model”
Link. The future is hard to predict, except when it’s inevitable.
Mudsills before Musk and Thiel
Link. “The “Mudsills” were dull drudges whose work produced the food and products that made society function. On them rested the superior class of people, who took the capital the mudsills produced and used it to move the economy, and even civilization itself, forward. The world could not survive without the inferior mudsills, but the superior class had the right—and even the duty—to rule over them.”
Heather Cox Richardson
The story of a Neanderthal remains in an Italian cave.
Link. Neat example of the struggle between preservation and discovery. Researchers desperately want to try for DNA.
Sophos cybersecurity vs China’s state hackers.
Link. Most (probably all) of the cybersecurity industry has been penetrated by China, but only one speaks of it.
“this is a security research community which is patriotically aligned with PRC objectives … But they’re not averse to making a bit of money on the side.”
“the people who approve your expense reports think that if the process is noxious enough, then you won’t submit as many expenses”
Link. “…. finance executives had told him that they liked making people jump through hoops”
It’s nice to see a casual NYT biz article that starts with the truth.
Tucker Carlson is, technically, medically, psychotic.
Link. Demonic attack is haloperidol territory.
Dyer: “The Gender Gap and the Comprehension Gap”
Link. “They don’t understand the deeper issues that hurt them – and neither major party is in a hurry to enlighten them. It’s better that they don’t know.”
Dyer correctly points out that if not for abortion Trump would win readily.
He almost gets to my “mass disability” concept but dares not go there.
Autonomous vehicles: A prediction
Link. “When autonomous vehicles are able to operate in Minnesota winters they will also be able to converse about quantum field theory, exotic mathematical geometries, politics in the Maldives, art history, and their latest contributions to classical music.”
Just putting down a marker.
Cells produce vesicle-bound RNA for war and messaging – from archaea to vertebrates.
Link. Evolution is not deterred by complexity, redundancy, or contradiction.
“plants were creating a “pseudo-virus,” Jin said — little packets of RNA that infect a cell and then use that cell’s machinery to churn out proteins”
“quantum mechanics and dinosaurs” – why collagen lasts millions of years.
Link.
Replacing Feynman diagrams: “associahedron and surfaceology were two reflections of the same math”
Link. Seeking a reformulation that would incorporate spacetime.
SimpleQA test to measure hallucinations: “questions had to induce hallucinations from either GPT-4o or GPT-3.5”
Link. “We hired AI trainers to browse the web and create short, fact-seeking questions and corresponding answers”
I wonder if they used “Amazing Turk”
“… there is a lot of room to improve the calibration of large language models in terms of stated confidence”
COVID may drop off the top 10 list for US cause of death
Link. I was curious and Perplexity pointed to this 2013 article where it was Number 10. Down from Number 3 in 2020. It’s usually a contributing cause. In 2024 suicide might push it out of the top 10. Seniors over 85(!) have top rates.
GLP-1 inhibitors (or a derivative) likely to become standard therapy for OA knee pain
Link. Damn, this stuff is wild. 50% reduction in knee pain, nothing else but replacement comes close. Also, **FINALLY** word is getting out that OA is not “wear and tear”. Effect appears to be related to inflammation reduction and to maybe act at the joint (see also Alzheimer’s).
Personally I have impressive OA and remarkably little OA pain — and I have trouble keeping weight with my normal exercise addiction. I suspect GLP-1s wouldn’t help me much. But for most of the world …
Aortic stenosis saymptomatic surgery: “halve their risk of being unexpectedly hospitalized for heart problems over at least two years”
Link. Great results. Real world unlikely to do as well but even 25% reduction justifies early replacement. New techniques make it work.
GLP-1 For Everything – including Alzheimer’s delay?!
Link. Lowe doesn’t get easily excited, but unless some really bad side-effect shows up most people will be on GLP-1s within ten years.
“some of my ideas about my fellow Americans were clearly based on wishful thinking”
Link. Derek Lowe, scientist and journalist, writes his Harris endorsement. This one line stood out for me because I think we all need to get real about what we are working with and will always be working with. People are often pretty bad.
Plague (Yersinia pestis) probably contributed to neolithic decline 5,300y ago.
Link. In a Scandinavian sample 1/6 had active infections at time of death and that probably understates mortality. The 541AD Justinian plague killed about 40 million and contributed to collapse of Western Europe.
WaPo suicide: “Lying hurts any person or institution’s credibility. But it’s absolute poison to a news organization.”
Link. If Bezos will do this he’ll do anything to WaPo needed to preserve his power. Much as Musk has with X. WaPo’s only hope is a new owner.
“Instead of a clean break between North America and Europe, there appears to be a complex mix of magma and continental crust fragments”
Link. As we learn more we discover that “continent” is debatable. Not surprising.
“There are basically only two major continents,” Dr. Rime said. “Antarctica and everything else”
Musk: “He has even offered his own sperm to friends and acquaintances, including the former independent vice-presidential candidate Nicole Shanahan,”
Link. My earlier prediction that in a Musk-Vance regime Elon’s sperm would be sold in pharmacies was not well received.
Musk’s eugenics concerns do not get taken seriously. Neither do his AI concerns.
Thoughtful review of a political scientist’s evolving view of democratic stability. 🆓
Link. “Polarization raises the stakes of politics, giving cover to any politician inclined to flout democratic norms, because almost nothing could persuade members of their party to vote for the other side”
Parliamentary systems may be less fragile.
ClassicPress as a WordPress alternative.
Link. Meanwhile Blogger never changes and still works about as well as it ever did.
“46.5% of the ML-evaluated embryos led to successful pregnancies, versus 48.2% of the human-evaluated ones”
Link. Not bad AI performance, but not good enough. This time the humans hold, and medical imaging AI was expected to beat the wetware.
Liz Cheney: “canceled her subscription to The Washington Post because the newspaper’s owner, Jeff Bezos, decided not to endorse Harris for president under the fig leaf of forgoing endorsements.”
Link. Cancel today. If Bezos sells the paper you can rejoin. You are canceling the automatic renewal. Remember the hidden cancel button fakeout WaPo uses.
Low wage immigrants and wage suppression: “I’m with my own lying eyes and with Donald Trump — and against most individual economists and respected think tanks”
Link. I agree.
“an issue to which higher-education white-collar workers shamefully have turned blind eyes and deaf ears, and to which ivory-tower think tanks have tried to defuse”
How to deep link to a specific PDF page
Link. Example: https://bit.ly/4ffO6Mk
Orion.
Link. “… has been teased by an OpenAI executive as potentially up to 100 times more powerful than GPT-4”
Next is to combine with o1.
“Sequoia 15.1 … 28 October …. networking bug fixes”
Link. Sounds like worthy of consideration.
WaPo humor columnist: “Democracy is like that: fragile, but only if you shatter it …. Trust is like that, too, as newspapers know.”
Link. When you cancel WaPo don’t be fooled by their hiding the second button. Scroll down. If you don’t see a cancellation email they fooled you
It cancels renewal. In case Bezos exits.
Musk “in regular contact with Putin since late 2022, according to The Wall Street Journal. Their conversations have been wide-ranging, touching on personal issues, business and geopolitics…”
Link. Personal issues.
Mariel Garza, LA Times Editorials editor: “I want to make it clear that I am not OK with us being silent…”
Link. “… In dangerous times, honest people need to stand up.”
She quit her job and became a hero.
Study that showed no effect of puberty blockers on mental health unpublished because researcher didn’t like the results.
Link. Lots of times data doesn’t support a researcher’s expectations. The good ones publish. The worst one’s change the data. This isn’t as bad as changing the data, but it’s bad.
“Goldman and Apple misled consumers about interest-free payment options for Apple devices, charging substantial interest”
Link. Apple going Boeing.
The stupid and obscure way to see what you bought from Apple.
Link. Going Boeing.
JPEG XL not off to a good start.
Link. HEIC looks like a dead end too. Maybe we should just do DNG RAW.
“two-dimensional sheet of metal wrapped into a sphere, … remains 2D in the sense that you can locate any point on it with a longitude and a latitude”
Link. Best explanation of holographic cosmologies I have read.
Internals modeled by “conformal field theory”, a variation of QFT.
Several techniques that attempt to create LLMs that learn without recompiling.
Link. In a few months we should learn if any work.